The British choose Sunak, foresight or improvisation? How will he solve the British dilemma?

release time:2022/10/28

British Prime Minister changed quickly, and former Indian Finance Minister Sunak was elected.
The election of Sunak was both expected and reasonable. The so-called expectation is that there is really no suitable person in Britain, and Boris Johnson can't come back after more than a month? Isn't the British Prime Minister's election a joke? It also seems that Britain is too deserted. The reason why it is beyond reason is that Britain has always been politically conservative. This election of Indian born Sunak as Prime Minister is a major breakthrough, so it is beyond reason in Britain.
So, we can't help asking why Britain finally chose Sunak? Is this British political foresight or a temporary move? In my opinion, the British choice of Sunak is both a helpless move and a forced attempt under the helplessness. To sum up, the UK finally chose Sunak instead of Johnson. There are three basic reasons:
1、 British politics still needs to be serious enough
When Boris Johnson heard that Truss had resigned, he immediately ended his vacation and returned to try to run again, and he also met the conditions for running. So why did Sunak withdraw after talking to him? In fact, the core reason is that Sunak has won enough support from lawmakers. According to media reports, he has won support from at least 146 lawmakers before talking with Johnson, while Boris Johnson obviously can't win support from so many lawmakers in a short time, so he announced his withdrawal after meeting Sunak.
After Johnson withdrew from the election, in fact, Sunak had no competitors. His other competitor, Mordant, had only 25 votes at that time. Later, although he won nearly 100 votes, there was still a big gap with Sunak's 188 votes, and 188 votes had exceeded half of the 357 seats in the Conservative House of Commons.
For the Conservative Party, there is actually no other better option, because the Labor Party forced the palace. If it doesn't work out well, the Labor Party will force the Conservative Party to hold an early election. At this stage, the support rate of the opposition Labor Party is much higher than that of the Conservative Party, and the Conservative Party will be defeated in an early election. Therefore, even if the Conservative Party is forced to hold the election in 2024, it will try to change the economic situation in Britain in the next two years to improve the election situation.
Therefore, objectively speaking, the reason why the former Finance Minister Sunak was chosen as Prime Minister rather than the former Defense Minister Madant was that everyone did not want to repeat Truss's mistakes. Mordent, also a woman in her forties, was as politically radical as Truss, so the Conservative Party did not choose her at last. One of the purposes of the Conservative Party's choice of Sunak is to take advantage of Sunak's stability, hoping to change the situation in Britain with his understanding of the economy, so that the Conservative Party can maintain until the next election.
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2、 Choosing Sunak is a correction to Johnson's radical political deviation
The change of the British Conservative Party from the relatively moderate Theresa May to the radical Boris Johnson is a very big change in British politics. The reason why the Conservative Party chose Boris Johnson, a radical opportunist, was that the protracted "Brexit" made the Conservative Party think that it had seriously affected their governance, and finally they chose Boris Johnson, who advocated "Brexit".
Johnson came to power to promote "Brexit" and finally achieve "hard Brexit" with the EU. The original national positioning of Britain is the bridge between the United States and Europe. Now that the British have torn down their own part and that of Europe, their value to the United States is left to the role of "horse boy". So we can see that in the past, the United States respected Britain very much. After the "Brexit" of the United Kingdom, it was very difficult for Britain to gain respect from the United States, and at the same time, it could not gain respect from the European Union. In order to maintain its influence, the United Kingdom had to keep courting the United States, and only by being more aggressive on some issues could it highlight its value.
Even in this radical process, under the great pressure of the United States, Britain has also been hostile to China. So we can see that Britain, which was relatively independent politically in the past, has gradually changed from a "follower" to a "paparazzi" after Boris Johnson, and the British plan to adjust its role as a bridge between China and the West during Cameron's period has completely collapsed.
After Boris Johnson, since Sunak was of Indian origin, the British chose Truss. As a result, Trass was more radical than Johnson, and almost played down the Conservative Party directly. Finally, under the pressure of the situation, the Conservative Party forced Truss to resign, and then chose Sunak, an Indian by pinching his nose.
Compared with Johnson and Truss, Sunak's performance is much more stable, which is the fundamental reason why he can win. It is also a revision of the radical politics of the past three years in British politics. Of course, Sunak can't just be stable. He must have a way to bring the British economy out of the pit to stabilize the situation.
3、 Britain tries to use Sunak's face to help themselves
Another deep-seated reason why Britain chose Sunak is that it tried to help Britain solve its economic problems with Sunak's "skin color", just as the United States chose Obama to try to show the image of the United States "listening to the world" after George W. Bush and change the relationship between the United States and the world.
Sunak is an Indian, he has a standard Indian face, and his wife is the daughter of a rich Indian, so he is considered to be half Indian to some extent. After Sunak became British Prime Minister, Indian Prime Minister Modi excitedly tweeted "warm congratulations". Modi also made a special statement for this purpose, which shows his importance and excitement. Coincidentally, US President Biden immediately expressed his congratulations.
Why is Modi so excited? Because, in India's eyes, the British used to be the suzerain, India used to be the colony of Britain, and now Indians have become the Prime Minister of Britain, which makes them feel "proud".
Why is Biden so excited? In addition to the fact that Britain is the most important ally of the United States, it is also because Sunak also has special significance for the United States. His Indian identity can make him a bridge between the United States and India, which is obviously beneficial to the Indian Pacific strategy of the United States.
The logic of Britain's attempt to help itself with Sunak's face lies in three points:
One is to win over colonial countries like India. What Britain wants to say is that you were our slaves in the past, but now you can all "turn over to serfs and sing" as leaders of our country, and we can cooperate well. It can be predicted that Sunak will carry out a round of diplomacy against the Commonwealth countries to enhance the influence of Britain and find a new role orientation.
The second is to try to change the international image of Britain in the past three or four years. Obviously, Sunak will be completely different from Johnson and Truss in his radicalism. He will try to adjust Britain's diplomatic strategy by changing its international image. For example, how to deal with the relationship with China? Compared with Johnson and Truss, Sunak is much more relaxed. He can use a different face to interact with China. Like Europe, Sunak can get rid of the traditional Anglo Saxon perspective and way to get along with the EU again and look for new cooperation opportunities.
The third is to play a role as a bridge between the United States and India. The United States has been pushing the Indo Pacific strategy, but it seems that it is not appropriate. In particular, India is not interested in many strategies of the United States, and the United States does not give what India wants. The two sides have not formed a substantive understanding. Now Sunak has taken office. As an Indian British, he may gain value in the United States by playing the role of the American Indian Bridge.
Can Britain borrow Sunak to achieve its goals? Objectively speaking, it is very difficult, but at least Bitrasi's single-cell political thinking is quite strong, and he should not step down after a few days of work. The British economy has been very bad. It is not easy for Sunak to change the pattern, but even if some new patterns and new atmosphere are used to give the British political arena and people some confidence, that is what the Conservative Party needs.
Now, for Sunak, it does not mean that there is no way to go, but rather that he needs great political wisdom to ease internal conflicts through diplomacy and bring some confidence to all parties involved in domestic conflicts. It is impossible to cure the disease in Britain. It is good to win some space, especially in terms of attitude towards China, which requires him to take some actions. Because, among these countries, I'm afraid only China is the living water, which is an opportunity for Britain!

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